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Outcome and Monarch designed this liquidity program to reward useful two-sided liquidity and trading across Outcome’s HIP-4 markets. This technical reference explains which market types can receive incentives, how each market is funded by reward epoch, how activity is scored, and how rewards are paid. The exact eligible markets, incentive windows, 24-hour epoch budgets, scoring parameters, and settlement rules are published before each market begins scoring.

Core Philosophy

The program rewards liquidity that is genuinely useful to traders: sustained depth close to fair value, balanced quoting on both sides of the book, and fills that demonstrate real usage. Three principles apply across every eligible market:
  • Near fair value: Only orders inside the published edge-aware scored band earn rewards, and orders closer to the Hyperliquid mid earn more.
  • Two-sided: Bid and ask liquidity both score, with more weight for a balanced book.
  • Useful: Quote rewards pay for displayed liquidity, maker-fill rewards pay for executed resting liquidity, and taker-fill rewards support trading and price discovery.

Market Categories

Eligible markets are grouped by the type of question each market answers. Only eligible markets receive rewards.

Shared Concepts

One Market, Fixed Reward by Epoch

Each eligible market receives a fixed published budget for a full 24-hour reward epoch. Partial epochs are funded pro rata by scheduled incentive hours:
A complete set of mutually exclusive outcomes is one market. Complementary YES and NO books do not receive duplicate reward pools within the same epoch. Score multipliers change a participant’s share of an epoch reward. They never increase the published epoch budget. A campaign’s total reward is the sum of its funded epoch rewards.

Reward Split

The same split applies within every epoch reward: Rewards are distributed pro rata within each pool according to eligible score.

Price Convention

An outcome token settles at 1.00 if the outcome occurs and 0.00 if it does not. A price between 0 and 1 represents the market’s implied probability. The Hyperliquid mid is the midpoint of the eligible market’s live order book. It is used as the fair probability for quote-distance scoring and to determine whether the market is inside the scored probability range. Price markets also use the published underlying reference and settlement-price rules for final settlement.

What Is Published Before Scoring Starts

For every eligible market, Outcome and Monarch publish:
  • market name and settlement rule;
  • scored outcomes or binary probability surface;
  • incentive start and end time, or end rule;
  • fixed 24-hour epoch budget;
  • outcome-allocation method;
  • baseline maximum scored total spread at a 50% midpoint;
  • maximum settlement-band multiplier;
  • scheduled event time, where applicable; and
  • expected settlement or scoring-end time and applicable scoring or allocation fallback behavior.

Reward Eligibility

To qualify for rewards, participants must:
  • approve the Outcome builder address from their main wallet; and
  • include the Outcome builder code on every campaign order.
With the builder fee field set to 0, no fee is taken when the order is filled. Eligibility depends on using the correct builder code, not on paying a builder fee. Orders placed without the Outcome builder code are not eligible for quote, maker-fill, or taker-fill rewards.

Market Types

Moneyline / 1X2

A moneyline may be binary, with only Participant A and Participant B outcomes, or may include a separately published draw outcome. Three-outcome match-result markets are also commonly described as 1X2 markets. A draw is scored only when it is published as a separate outcome. The reward for each epoch is divided equally across all published scored outcomes:
Equal allocation buys liquidity across the complete result surface instead of concentrating rewards only in the current favourite.

To Advance / Winner

A to-advance or winner market asks which participant wins a contest, series, round, or qualification event under the published settlement rule. It uses one binary order book: YES represents Participant A and NO represents Participant B. YES and NO are complementary sides of the same probability surface, not separately funded outcomes.
A to-advance market and a moneyline market may both be eligible when they ask different questions and have separate published settlement rules. Each is treated as its own complete market.

Scheduled Decision

A scheduled-decision market covers a defined external announcement. All published decision outcomes together form one market. Every reward epoch, including the first, uses probability-weighted outcome allocations. For the first epoch, the probability weight is derived from eligible periods with sufficient liquidity conditions. For each later epoch, the probability weight is based on the previous epoch’s valid mean Hyperliquid midpoint across eligible periods with sufficient liquidity conditions.
For the first reward epoch, the probability weight is derived from eligible periods with sufficient liquidity conditions; the specific eligible periods and aggregation method may vary by market. If sufficient probability data are unavailable for any epoch, eligible outcomes use equal weights.

Binary Price Threshold

A binary price market asks whether a published underlying satisfies a price condition at a defined expiry. YES and NO are complementary views of one scored probability surface:
The epoch reward is not divided between complementary YES and NO books, and the same probability surface is not paid twice. The underlying, threshold, reference-price rule, settlement-price rule, and any averaging window are published before scoring begins.

Multi-Range Price

A multi-range market asks which one of several published price bands contains the settlement price. All ranges for the same underlying and expiry form one market. Published outcome allocations apply across eligible ranges. A long-dated multi-range market uses the same probability-weighted allocation process as a scheduled-decision market for every reward epoch, including the first.

Short-Duration Rolling Markets

A published sequence of short-duration rolling markets is treated as one rolling market family for reward purposes. Each family receives one fixed epoch reward for each published 24-hour incentive window; individual short-duration instances do not receive separate reward pools. Each instance still calculates its own settlement-band curve from its deployment time to its published expected settlement time. Quote, maker-fill, and taker-fill scores from every eligible instance in the family are aggregated across the 24-hour window. Each of the family’s three reward pools is then distributed pro rata using the corresponding aggregated score.

Illustrative 24-Hour Epoch Budgets

The following reference illustrates how 24-hour epoch budgets may vary across market categories. These are illustrative 24-hour epoch budgets and are subject to change. The published budget is fixed for a full 24-hour epoch, and each scheduled incentive hour is funded pro rata. The exact eligible market and epoch budget are published before scoring begins.

Incentive Window

Each selected market has one continuous incentive window divided into reward epochs. Every epoch uses the fixed published 24-hour budget, prorated by its scheduled incentive hours:
Orders and trades score only inside the published incentive window, and no rewards accrue after settlement. Non-sports early settlement is prorated by elapsed scheduled hours. Sports events use one fixed 24-hour budget from T-24 through settlement, regardless of match duration or settlement delay, allocated pro rata by weighted score.

Event-Time Multiplier

Markets with a defined external event time use a separate curve during the final 24 hours before the scheduled event, or from incentive start if the market is deployed later. This final pre-event period is treated as its own reward epoch, so eligible quote and fill activity is weighted more heavily as the event approaches:
The multiplier is calculated in five-minute buckets using each bucket’s midpoint. Before event_weighting_start, no event-time adjustment applies and the multiplier is 1.00×. At event_weighting_start it is 0.25×, reaches 1.00× at the scheduled event time, and remains at 1.00× until scoring ends. Cubic event-time multiplier curve If deployment occurs inside the final 24 hours, the curve is compressed across the remaining pre-event period. Markets without a defined external event use 1.00× throughout. The event-time curve is independent of settlement_progress. Event-time weighting applies only during the final pre-event epoch, while settlement_progress controls quote-band widening from incentive start. When a scheduled event time exists, both curves reach their endpoint at event start.

Market Scoring Conditions

Quote depth, maker fills, and taker fills score only when:
  • market and outcome or probability surface are published as eligible
  • block or fill is inside the published incentive window
  • market is active and unsettled
  • scored outcome remains possible
  • hyperliquid_mid is available and reliable
  • current_hyperliquid_mid >= 2.00%
  • current_hyperliquid_mid <= 98.00%
Scoring pauses whenever a condition is not met and resumes only if the market becomes eligible again. Scoring stops permanently when the market settles or the scored outcome becomes impossible.

Live Event Multiplier

Eligible markets with a genuine live phase receive additional score weight during confirmed live play:
The live period begins when the published event source marks the event as started and ends at official completion of the scored market. Live weighting does not apply before the event starts, after completion, while the market is paused or halted, or when normal live trading is not supported.

Volatility Multiplier

Marina gives additional score weight to makers who maintain tight liquidity after a meaningful price move. For each scored outcome or probability surface:
normal_average_spread uses a lagged calibration maintained separately for pre-live, live, and non-live price trading. The volatility multiplier applies to quote and maker-fill scores, but not to taker-fill scores.

Illustrative 10-Cent Market Move

Assume a market has a 2¢ normal average spread and its midpoint jumps by 10¢, then remains stable at the new level. The trigger is twice the normal average spread:
As the 60-second rolling reference catches up to the new midpoint:
Under the threshold rule, the multiplier returns to 1× as soon as price displacement reaches or falls below the 4¢ trigger. Volatility multiplier after a price jump

Live and Volatility Combination

Live and volatility multipliers are additive:
For markets without a live phase:
The event-time multiplier applies multiplicatively to quote, maker-fill, and taker-fill scores. Earlier pre-event epochs use the published 24-hour epoch budget with no event-time adjustment. During the separate final pre-event epoch, the multiplier rises from 0.25× to 1.00× while live_multiplier remains 0. At confirmed event start, event_time_multiplier remains 1.00× and live weighting activates. Settlement-band widening reaches its published maximum at event start and remains capped through the live phase.

Dynamic Edge-Aware Logit Distance

Quote distance is measured in log-odds. The maximum qualifying logit distance expands continuously from actual incentive start to the applicable band_curve_end. The expansion changes the qualifying distance.

Logit Definitions

Baseline Logit Cutoff

Each market publishes a baseline maximum scored total spread in cents. The parameter retains its current meaning at a 50% midpoint.
For example, a published four-cent total spread gives a two-cent half-spread at a 50% midpoint, producing a baseline qualifying range of approximately 48%–52%.

Continuous Settlement Adjustment

Settlement progress is calculated using the midpoint of each existing five-minute scoring bucket. Scheduled events use event start as band_curve_end; other markets use the published expected settlement time:
The qualifying band expands on a cubic curve:
For example, if maximum_settlement_band_multiplier is 2.00: The corresponding price boundaries at reference probability p* are:
For scheduled events, the band reaches its published maximum at event start and remains capped through the live phase. Markets without a defined event time use the published expected settlement time. A late deployment compresses the curve from actual incentive start to band_curve_end. If the market settles before band_curve_end, scoring stops at the multiplier reached, without retroactive adjustment. If it remains unsettled after band_curve_end, the published maximum applies until scoring ends. If a timing input changes, the new anchor applies beginning with the next five-minute bucket; previously scored buckets retain their recorded parameters. The active settlement-band multiplier and timing inputs are exposed in the scoring config. If no event time or expected settlement time is available, the market must publish a deterministic fallback or use a flat 1.00× settlement-band multiplier.

Quadratic Distance Multiplier

For each resting order:
An order at the Hyperliquid mid receives a 5× multiplier. The multiplier falls quadratically to zero at the dynamic logit cutoff. Orders at or beyond the cutoff do not score.

Illustrative Edge-Aware Ranges

Assume a four-cent baseline total spread, equivalent to a two-cent half-spread at a 50% midpoint. The same logit tolerance compresses in cents near the probability edges. Approaching settlement widens the logit band while preserving that edge-aware behavior.

Quote Depth Score

Marina scores bid and ask liquidity separately and weights displayed depth by its dynamic logit distance from the Hyperliquid mid and the time it remains available:

Two-Sided Multiplier

The two-sided multiplier ranges from 1× for one-sided liquidity to 3× for equally balanced bid and ask scores. The minimum-depth requirement uses only raw in-band bid-plus-ask notional before distance, balance, event-time, live, and volatility weighting.

Quote Reward

In the formulas below, outcome means either an eligible outcome or the single scored surface of a binary market. For each maker and scored outcome:

Maker-Fill Reward

For each eligible maker-side fill:

Taker-Fill Reward

For each eligible taker-side fill:
Taker fills do not receive volatility weighting.

Exclusions

The following activity does not score:
  • markets or outcomes that were not published as eligible;
  • blocks or fills outside the published incentive window;
  • markets that are paused, halted, cancelled, stale, or settled;
  • blocks without a reliable Hyperliquid mid;
  • quote blocks with a mid below 2.00% or above 98.00%;
  • orders at or beyond the dynamic logit-distance cutoff;
  • eliminated or impossible winner outcomes;
  • duplicated YES or NO liquidity already represented in the scored probability surface;
  • fills on non-scored outcome books;
  • price markets without complete reference and settlement specifications; and
  • self-trading, related-wallet churn, wash trading, or circular volume.

Payout and Settlement

Rewards are calculated pro rata within the quote, maker-fill, and taker-fill pools. For each wallet:
The payout asset, payout timing, and eligible attribution method are published with the campaign terms.

Quick Reference

Who is eligible for Outcome’s $1,000,000 in liquidity rewards?Outcome’s $1,000,000 liquidity rewards program covers liquidity provided on Outcome’s frontend, and whitelisted builder frontends.